What will interest rates do in the next 5 years?
The average 30-year fixed mortgage rate as of Thursday was 6.99%. By the final quarter of 2025, Fannie Mae expects that to slide to 6.0%. Meanwhile, Wells Fargo's model expects 5.8%, and the Mortgage Bankers Association estimates 5.5%.The nation's top economists say the Fed is most likely to keep interest rates higher than 2.5 percent — often considered the “goldilocks,” not-too-tight, not-too-loose level for its benchmark federal funds rate — until the end of 2026, Bankrate's quarterly economists' poll found.While McBride had expected mortgage rates to fall to 5.75 percent by late 2024, the new economic reality means they're likely to hover in the range of 6.25 percent to 6.4 percent by the end of the year, he says.

What is the Fed funds rate forecast for 2025 : In 2025, the median fed funds rate projection falls to 3.75-4.00%, which implies another 75 basis points worth of cuts in 2025. Please note that this projected target fed funds rate is 25 basis points higher than the projection shown in December 2023 Fed dot plot.

Will interest rates go down in 2026

Driving the news: The median Fed official now expects interest rates to be somewhat higher in 2025 and 2026 than they did in December — anticipating fewer rate cuts will be justified in the coming two years. The median projection for the longer-run rate also ticked up, to 2.6% from 2.5%.

Will interest rates go down in the next 5 years : Projected Interest Rates in the Next Five Years

ING's interest rate predictions indicate 2024 rates starting at 4%, with subsequent cuts to 3.75% in the second quarter. Then, 3.5% in the third, and 3.25% in the final quarter of 2024. In 2025, ING predicts a further decline to 3%.

Interest Rates for 2021 to 2027. CBO projects that the interest rates on 3-month Treasury bills and 10-year Treasury notes will average 2.8 percent and 3.6 percent, respectively, during the 2021–2027 period. The federal funds rate is projected to average 3.1 percent.

The MBA's forecast suggests that 30-year mortgage rates will fall into the 6.1% to 6.8% range in 2024, and NAR's forecast is very similar, predicting that rates will remain in the 6.1% to 6.8% range.

Could interest rates go down in 2024

The Fed's latest projections materials show that three rate cuts are still expected in 2024, bringing the rate down by three-quarters of a percentage point by the end of the year. However, the Fed's economic policy isn't set in stone.Now, Fannie Mae expects rates to be a half-percent higher (6.4%) by the end of this year, and remain above 6% for another two years, gradually declining to a flat 6% by fourth-quarter 2025. Freddie Mac's latest data shows the average rate for a 30-year fixed mortgage is currently around 6.74%.30-Year Fixed Mortgage Rate Forecasts

2024 Forecast 2025 Forecast
Fannie Mae 6.6% 6.2%
Mortgage Bankers Association 6.1%* 5.6%
National Association of Home Builders 6.61% 6.01%
National Association of Realtors 6.5% 6.1%


According to their latest forecast for 30-year mortgage rates in October 2023, they expect them to range from 7.40% to 7.86%, with an average of 7.63%. They also predict that mortgage rates will peak at 9.41% in May 2024, before gradually declining to 3.67% by November 2027.

Will Fed lower rates in 2024 : The Federal Reserve is likely to cut interest rates at least once in 2024, with the largest share of officials expecting three cuts. The timing and frequency of rate cuts will depend on a variety of factors, including inflation and the labor market.

How long will interest rates remain high : Mortgage rates are expected to decline later this year as the U.S. economy weakens, inflation slows and the Federal Reserve cuts interest rates. The 30-year fixed mortgage rate is expected to fall to the mid- to low-6% range through the end of 2024, potentially dipping into high-5% territory by early 2025.

Where will interest rates be at end of 2024

Mortgage rates are likely to trend down in 2024. Depending on which forecast you look at for housing market predictions in 2024, 30-year mortgage rates could end up somewhere between 6.1% and 6.4% by the end of the year.

Percent Per Year, Average of Month.

Month Date Forecast Value
1 Apr 2024 8.50
2 May 2024 8.50
3 Jun 2024 8.35
4 Jul 2024 8.25

Interest rates have held steady since July 2023.

The Fed raised the rate 11 times between March 2022 and July 2023 to combat ongoing inflation. After its December 2023 meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) predicted making three quarter-point cuts by the end of 2024 to lower the federal funds rate to 4.6%.

How many rate cuts are expected in 2024 : three rate cuts

While officials affirmed their view for three rate cuts this year even as they upgraded the economic outlook, they trimmed the number of cuts expected next year from four to three for a slightly shallower pace of easing – a stance one analyst characterized as "bullish-dovish."